Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Carbon Taxes

As an economist, one of the biggest frustrations of discussions over climate policy is that we know pretty well what to do - tax carbon (or set up a system of tradable permits, which has similar effects), and that doing so will not be harmful to the economy.  People and firms respond to incentives, and a carbon tax will motivate people to find the lowest-cost ways to reduce emissions.  People are clever and the cost of reducing emissions will likely be much less than many envisioned.

Eduardo Porter's column about British Columbia's carbon tax is yet another illustration of this; he writes:
In 2008, the British Columbia Liberal Party, which confoundingly leans right, introduced a tax on the carbon emissions of businesses and families, cars and trucks, factories and homes across the province. The party stuck to the tax even as the left-leaning New Democratic Party challenged it in provincial elections the next year under the slogan Axe the Tax. The conservatives won soundly at the polls.

Their experience shows that cutting carbon emissions enough to make a difference in preventing global warming remains a difficult challenge. But the most important takeaway for American skeptics is that the policy basically worked as advertised.

British Columbia’s economy did not collapse. In fact, the provincial economy grew faster than its neighbors’ even as its greenhouse gas emissions declined.

“It performed better on all fronts than I think any of us expected,” said Mary Polak, the province’s environment minister. “To the extent that the people who modeled it predicted this, I’m not sure that those of us on the policy end of it really believed it.”